Abstract
AMPREDICT PROsthetics- Predicting Prosthesis Mobility to aid in prosthetic prescription
and rehabilitation planning.
Objective
To develop and validate a patient-specific multivariable prediction model that utilizes
variables readily available in the electronic medical record to predict 12-month mobility
at the time of initial post-amputation prosthetic prescription. The prediction model
is designed for patients who have undergone their initial transtibial (TT) or transfemoral
(TF) amputation due to complications of diabetes and/or peripheral artery disease.
Design
Multi-methodology cohort study that identified patients retrospectively through a
large Veteran's Affairs (VA) dataset then prospectively collected their patient-reported
mobility.
Setting
The VA Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW), the National Prosthetics Patient Database,
participant mailings and phone calls.
Participants
357 Veterans who underwent an incident dysvascular TT or TF amputation and received
a qualifying lower limb prosthesis (LLP) between March 1, 2018, and November 30, 2020.
Main Outcome Measure
The Amputee Single Item Mobility Measure (AMPSIMM) was divided into a 4-category outcome
to predict wheelchair mobility (0-2), and household (3), basic community (4), or advanced
community ambulation (5-6).
Results
Multinomial logistic lasso regression, a machine learning methodology designed to
select variables that most contribute to prediction while controlling for overfitting,
led to a final model including 23 predictors of the 4-category AMPSIMM outcome that
effectively discriminates household ambulation from basic community ambulation and
from advanced community ambulation – levels of key clinical importance when estimating
future prosthetic demands. The overall model performance was modest as it did not
discriminate wheelchair from household mobility as effectively.
Conclusions
The AMPREDICT PROsthetics model can assist providers in estimating individual patients’ future mobility at
the time of prosthetic prescription, thereby aiding in the formulation of appropriate
mobility goals, as well as facilitating the prescription of a prosthetic device that
is most appropriate for anticipated functional goals.
Keywords
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Article info
Publication history
Accepted:
November 11,
2022
Received in revised form:
October 19,
2022
Received:
May 31,
2022
Publication stage
In Press Journal Pre-ProofIdentification
Copyright
© 2023 Published by Elsevier Inc. on behalf of the American Congress of Rehabilitation Medicine
